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022 _a0304-405X
245 _aMarket intraday momentum / by Lei Gao, Yufeng Han, Sophia Zhengzi Li & Guofu Zhou
_cLei Gao, Yufeng Han, Sophia Zhengzi Li & Guofu Zhou
300 _aPages 394-414
440 _aJournal of Financial Economics
_v129 (2)
_x0304-405X
500 _aAbstract Based on high frequency S & P 500 exchange-traded fund (ETF) data from 1993–2013, we show an intraday momentum pattern: the first half-hour return on the market as measured from the previous day’s market close predicts the last half-hour return. This predictability, which is both statistically and economically significant, is stronger on more volatile days, on higher volume days, on recession days, and on major macroeconomic news release days. Intraday momentum also exists for ten other most actively traded domestic and international ETFs. Theoretically, the intraday momentum is consistent not only with Bogousslavsky’s (2016) model of infrequent portfolio rebalancing but also with a model of late-informed trading near the market close.
690 _aHigh frequency trading
690 _aOvernight return
690 _aIntraday
690 _aPredictability
942 _2lcc
_cSE
999 _c361368
_d361368